This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 01:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 39 recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026 — one other scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued June 14 at 9:14PM EDT until June 14 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 113,413 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- May 20, 2026 · score 43 · 13.0 km
- May 14, 2026 · score 43 · 21.8 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 67 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 67 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 40.6187, -76.3688 |
| Nearest City | Lebanon (31 km) |
| Population Exposed | 113.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-15T01:14:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lancaster, PA; Lycoming, PA; Sullivan, PA |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued June 14 at 9:14PM EDT until June 14 at 9:45PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T21:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6227e45d5eb9b9926467606c5f3e3a5125cf989.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2f449c54bda7a83c15708141f417f7d7ff74ea65.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 67/100, near Lebanon (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.